Table 4

Univariable and multivariable logistic regression analysis with SHS progression as binomial outcome variable

OR95% CIp Value
Univariable analysis
 Age1.031.01 to 1.060.009
 Female0.890.48 to 1.660.720
 RA1.120.52 to 2.390.777
 DAS1.080.79 to 1.480.648
 Symptom duration <12 weeks0.550.28 to 1.110.096
 RF1.460.77 to 2.750.244
 Anti-CarP/ACPA
  Both negativeref
  Anti-CarP−ACPA+1.270.53 to 3.050.592
  Anti-CarP+ACPA−*0.860.10 to 7.040.885
  Both positive2.671.26 to 5.660.011
 CRP1.000.99 to 1.010.646
 ESR >28 mm2.271.25 to 4.150.007
 SJC1.020.98 to 1.070.338
 TJC0.990.93 to 1.050.661
 DAS remission 4 months0.970.53 to 1.790.932
 Arm 1†1.800.57 to 5.690.317
 Arm 2‡0.560.18 to 1.760.317
 Early ACR/EULAR remission1.440.76 to 2.740.266
 SHS1.101.00 to 1.200.041
 Erosion score1.001.00 to 1.020.812
 JSN score1.001.00 to 1.000.804
 Early DXR-BMD loss1.221.03 to 1.450.019
 Early DXR-BMC loss, imputed§1.180.97 to 1.450.100
Multivariable analysis
 Age1.031.00 to 1.060.049
 Anti-CarP/ACPA
  Both negativeref
  Anti-CarP−ACPA +1.410.57 to 3.460.457
  Anti-CarP+ACPA−*1.130.13 to 9.680.908
  Both positive2.541.16 to 5.580.020
 Symptom duration <12 weeks0.490.23 to 1.040.063
 ESR >28 mm1.900.95 to 3.810.070
 SHS1.040.98 to 1.110.208
  • *n=16 patients.

  • †Reference category arm 2.

  • ‡Reference category arm 1.

  • §DXR-BMD data imputed in 442 patients.

  • ACPA, anticitrullinated protein antibodies; Anti-CarP, anticarbamylated protein antibodies; ACR, American College of Rheumatology; CRP, C reactive protein; DAS, disease activity score; DXR-BMD, metacarpal bone mineral density measured by digital X-ray radiogrammetry; ESR, erythrocyte sedimentation rate; EULAR, European League Against Rheumatism; JSN, joint space narrowing; RA, rheumatoid arthritis; RF, rheumatoid factor; SHS, Sharp/van der Heijde score; SJC, swollen joint count; TJC, tender joint count; Wks, weeks.