Table 5

Predicted probability of high adherence to maintenance treatments per posthoc simplified ankylosing spondylitis model

Treatment†‡Component being ratedPredicted high adherence* probability (% (95% CI)) in patients with AS (n=812)
White patientsNon-white patients
Low BMQ-Specific Concerns Score (<14)High BMQ-Specific Concerns Score (≥14)Low BMQ-Specific Concerns Score (<14)High BMQ-Specific Concerns Score (≥14)
Age ≥44 years
 csDMARD-TNFi combinationTNFi94.1 (87.6 to 97.3)90.5 (81.6 to 95.4)82.2 (66.9 to 91.4)73.4 (56.3 to 85.5)
 TNFi monotherapyTNFi90.2 (83.5 to 94.4)84.6 (75.9 to 90.5)72.6 (56.7 to 84.3)61.2 (45.2 to 75.1)
 NSAID-TNFi combinationTNFi82.7 (68.6 to 91.3)74.0 (57.1 to 85.8)57.9 (37.2 to 76.1)45.0 (26.9 to 64.5)
 csDMARD-TNFi combinationcsDMARD68.1 (51.5 to 81.1)56.0 (39.3 to 71.4)38.1 (21.8 to 57.5)26.8 (14.8 to 43.6)
 NSAID-csDMARD combinationcsDMARD52.8 (28.4 to 76.0)40.0 (19.6 to 64.5)24.4 (9.6 to 49.5)16.1 (6.2 to 35.8)
 csDMARD monotherapycsDMARD46.7 (17.2 to 78.7)34.2 (10.7 to 69.3)20.1 (5.2 to 53.6)13.0 (3.1 to 41.1)
 NSAID-TNFi combinationNSAID44.5 (26.5 to 64.0)32.3 (17.7 to 51.5)18.7 (8.4 to 36.7)12.1 (5.3 to 25.3)
 NSAID-csDMARD combinationNSAID45.8 (22.8 to 70.8)33.5 (15.2 to 58.5)19.6 (7.3 to 43.1)12.7 (4.6 to 30.3)
 NSAID monotherapyNSAID48.7 (27.6 to 70.2)36.1 (18.6 to 58.2)21.4 (8.9 to 43.3)14.0 (5.6 to 30.8)
Age <44 years
 csDMARD-TNFi combinationTNFi86.0 (73.6 to 93.1)78.5 (63.1 to 88.7)63.9 (45.2 to 79.1)51.3 (34.1 to 68.1)
 TNFi monotherapyTNFi77.9 (67.3 to 85.7)67.7 (55.4 to 77.9)50.3 (35.5 to 65.0)37.6 (25.4 to 51.6)
 NSAID-TNFi combinationTNFi64.6 (46.6 to 79.2)52.1 (34.3 to 69.4)34.4 (19.7 to 53.0)23.8 (13.0 to 39.6)
 csDMARD-TNFi combinationcsDMARD44.9 (28.2 to 62.9)32.7 (19.0 to 50.2)19.0 (9.7 to 33.9)12.3 (6.1 to 23.0)
 NSAID-csDMARD combinationcsDMARD29.9 (12.7 to 55.6)20.3 (8.1 to 42.3)11.0 (3.8 to 27.4)6.8 (2.4 to 17.9)
 csDMARD monotherapycsDMARD25.1 (7.2 to 59.2)16.6 (4.2 to 47.3)8.8 (2.0 to 30.8)5.4 (1.2 to 21.4)
 NSAID-TNFi combinationNSAID23.4 (12.0 to 40.8)15.4 (7.3 to 29.6)8.1 (3.4 to 17.9)5.0 (2.1 to 11.5)
 NSAID-csDMARD combinationNSAID24.4 (9.8 to 49.1)16.1 (6.1 to 36.4)8.5 (2.9 to 22.7)5.2 (1.8 to 14.6)
 NSAID monotherapyNSAID26.6 (12.6 to 47.7)17.7 (7.8 to 35.5)9.4 (3.6 to 22.3)5.8 (2.2 to 14.5)
  • *High/full medication adherence: 4-item Morisky Medication Adherence Scale©=4.

  • †With or without concomitant glucocorticoid.

  • ‡Some combinations are not recommended according to the American College of Rheumatology, Assessment of Spondyloarthritis International Society and the European League Against Rheumatism.22–24

  • AS, ankylosing spondylitis; BMQ, Beliefs about Medicines Questionnaire; NSAID, non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drug; TNFi, tumour necrosis factor inhibitor; csDMARD, conventional synthetic disease-modifying antirheumatic drug.