Table 4

OR with 95% CI of developing RA for subjects with different combinations of alcohol consumption, smoking habits and HLA-SE status, compared with HLA-SE negative never smokers who consume alcohol

Non-drinkingSmokingHLA-SETotalACPA-positive RAACPA-negative RA
CA/CO*OR (95% CI)†CA/CO*OR (95% CI)†CA/CO*OR (95% CI)†
214/4761.0 (reference)72/4761.0 (reference)142/4761.0 (reference)
+438/6631.5 (1.2 to 1.9)187/6632.0 (1.5 to 2.8)251/6631.2 (1.0 to 1.6)
+120/1162.1 (1.5 to 2.9)44/1162.4 (1.5 to 3.8)76/1161.9 (1.3 to 2.7)
++121/1042.4 (1.7 to 3.3)47/1043.1 (2.0 to 4.8)74/1042.0 (1.4 to 2.8)
+528/5242.2 (1.8 to 2.7)367/5244.7 (3.5 to 6.3)161/5241.0 (0.8 to 1.5)
++1243/7423.9 (3.2 to 4.7)946/7429.3 (7.0 to 12.3)297/7421.3 (1.0 to 1.6)
++251/1085.0 (3.7 to 6.7)171/10811.0 (7.6 to 15.9)80/1082.1 (1.4 to 3.0)
+++438/1039.2 (6.9 to 12.2)359/10325.3 (17.7 to 36.2)79/1032.1 (1.5 to 3.1)
AP 0.6 (0.4 to 0.7)‡
AP 0.3 (0.06 to 0.5)§
EOR 2.8 (0.1 to 5.5)¶
AP 0.7 (0.6 to 0.8)‡
AP 0.4 (0.2 to 0.6)§
EOR 10.0 (2.6 to 17.5)¶
AP 0.008 (−0.4 to 0.4)‡
AP 0.003 (−0.5 to 0.5)§
EOR 0.01 (−1.3 to 1.3)¶
  • *Number of exposed CA and CO.

  • †Adjusted for age, gender, residential area, ancestry and study.

  • ‡AP due to interaction (95% CI) of the OR due to second-order and third-order interaction between the three risk factors.

  • §AP due to interaction (95% CI) of the OR due to third-order interaction between the three risk factors.

  • ¶EOR (95% CI) of triple exposed due to third-order interaction between the three risk factors.

  • ACPA, anticitrullinated protein antibodies; AP, attributable proportion; CA, cases; CO, controls; EOR, excess OR; HLA-SE, human leucocyte antigen-shared epitope; RA, rheumatoid arthritis.