Table 3

Multivariable analysis for identification of factors associated with radiographic SIJ progression defined as a change of at least one grade in at least one SIJ and ignoring a change from 0 to 1 over 2 years

VariableOR95% CIP value
Prior TNFi use up to the start of X-ray interval yes/no0.210.07 to 0.650.006
Baseline sacroiliac damage (0–7) at start of each X-ray interval1.351.02 to 1.770.04
Female sex0.260.07 to 0.940.04
Symptom duration1.061.01 to 1.100.01
Current smoking2.470.75 to 8.110.14
HLA-B27 negative0.880.18 to 4.350.87
NSAID use at start of each X-ray interval0.860.25 to 2.980.81
ASDAS at start of each X-ray interval1.060.62 to 1.810.82
  • Analysis in 302 patients and 483 X-ray intervals (22 events).

  • ASDAS, Ankylosing Spondylitis Disease Activity Score; HLA-B27, human leucocyte antigen B27; NSAID, non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drug; SIJ, sacroiliac joint; TNFi, tumour necrosis factor inhibitor.