Table 8

Sensitivity analysis: integrating a third reading of radiographs for the multivariable analysis for identification of factors associated with radiographic SIJ progression defined as a change of at least one grade in at least one SIJ and ignoring a change from 0 to 1

VariableA.TNFi use before the 2-year radiographic intervalB.TNFi use during the 2-year radiographic interval
OR95% CIP valueOR95% CIP value
Prior TNFi use up to the start of X-ray interval yes/no0.500.28 to 0.890.02
TNFi use during X-ray interval≥1 year0.460.27 to 0.78<0.01
TNFi use during X-ray interval<1 year0.570.18 to 1.840.35
Baseline sacroiliac damage at start of each X-ray interval (0–7)1.120.97 to 1.290.121.110.97 to 1.280.13
Female sex0.740.44 to 1.260.270.730.43 to 1.260.26
Symptom duration1.000.97 to 1.030.991.000.97 to 1.030.93
Current smoking1.290.76 to 2.180.351.230.73 to 2.080.43
HLA-B27 negative1.991.04 to 3.800.041.911.00 to 3.660.05
NSAID use at start of each X-ray interval0.720.40 to 1.290.270.710.40 to 1.280.26
ASDAS at start of each X-ray interval0.850.64 to 1.140.280.950.72 to 1.250.69
  • Three hundred one patients with 477 intervals (87 events).

  • ASDAS, Ankylosing Spondylitis Disease Activity Score; BASDAI, Bath Ankylosing Spondylitis Disease Activity Index; CRP, C-reactive protein; HLA-B27, human leucocyte antigen B27; NSAID, non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drug; SIJ, sacroiliac joint; TNFi, tumour necrosis factor inhibitor.