Table 4

Predictive factors of 1-year ILD progression in IIM-ILD population

Univariate analysisMultivariate analysis
OR (95% CI)P valueOR (95% CI)P value
Demographics
 Sex—(male vs female)1.34 (0.39 to 4.54)0.63
 Age at diagnosis ILD (years, ≥58 vs <58)0.50 (0.15 to 1.67)0.26
 Time from diagnosis to ILDyears0.87 (0.65 to 1.17)0.38
Clinical features
 Mechanic’s hands (yes vs no)1.09 (0.26 to 4.48)0.90
 Heliotropic rash (yes vs no)8.00 (1.55 to 41.23)0.010.87 (0.13 to 5.65)0.88
 Xerostomia (yes vs no)8.19 (1.84 to 36.36)0.0062.61 (0.23 to 28.6)0.43
 Xerophthalmia (yes vs no)8.00 (1.55 to 41.2)0.011.17 (0.08 to 16.1)0.90
Muscle involvement
 MMT-80.99 (0.96 to 1.02)0.75
 CK1.00 (0.99 to 1.00)0.40
Autoantibody profile
 Anti—MDA5 (yes vs no)6.10 (1.30 to 28.4)0.024.00 (0.53 to 29.8)0.17
Radiological pattern
 NSIP (yes vs no)0.72 (0.19 to 2.73)0.63
 UIP (yes vs no)2.50 (0.68 to 9.08)0.16
 OP (yes vs no)0.50 (0.09 to 2.57)0.40
Pulmonary function tests
 FVC (% pred.)1.02 (0.99 to 1.05)0.18
 FVC (L)1.95 (0.67 to 5.70)0.22
 DLCO (% pred.)1.07 (0.97 to 1.04)0.70
  • Values are expressed as OR (95%CI).

  • CK, creatine kinase; DLCO, diffusing capacity for carbon monoxide; FVC, forced vital capacity; IIM, idiopathic inflammatory myopathies; ILD, interstitial lung disease; MDA5, anti-melanoma differentiation-associated gene; MMT-8, manual muscle testing; NSIP, non-specific interstitial pneumonia; OP, organising pneumonia; UIP, usual interstitial pneumonia.